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The Miami Heat (31-41) host the Atlanta Hawks (35-37) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Kaseya Center, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 27, 2025. The Heat are 2-point favorites in the game, the fourth matchup between the squads this season.
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Heat vs. Hawks Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final score of Heat 115, Hawks 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-126)
- Total Pick: Over 227 (computer predicts 228.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-2)
Recent Heat vs. Hawks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/26/2025 | Heat | -3 | 230 | -156 | +131 | 131-109 MIA |
| 2/24/2025 | Hawks | -1.5 | 231.5 | -121 | +101 | 98-86 ATL |
| 12/28/2024 | Hawks | -1.5 | 227 | -106 | -113 | 120-110 ATL |
| 4/9/2024 | Heat | -3.5 | 217.5 | -156 | +132 | 117-111 MIA |
| 1/19/2024 | Heat | -7 | 221.5 | -283 | +229 | 109-108 ATL |
| 12/22/2023 | Heat | -1 | 238.5 | -117 | -102 | 122-113 MIA |
| 11/11/2023 | Hawks | -7.5 | 227 | -302 | +238 | 117-109 MIA |
Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Miami has gone 32-37-3 ATS this season.
- The Heat have a 16-16-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more.
- A total of 37 of Miami's 72 games with a set total have hit the over (51.4%).
- This season, the Heat have been favored 38 times and won 22, or 57.9%, of those games.
- This season, Miami has won 21 of its 34 games, or 61.8%, when favored by at least -126 on the moneyline.
Hawks 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Atlanta's ATS record is 36-36-0 this year.
- In games this year in which they were an underdog by 2 points or more, the Hawks have a 24-17 record against the spread.
- Atlanta's games have gone over the point total 42 out of 72 times (58.3%).
- The Hawks have gone 19-26 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.2% of those games).
- Atlanta has gone 17-24 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +106 or longer (41.5%).
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Heat vs. Hawks Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),
Nikola Jovic: Out (Hand),
Alec Burks: Questionable (Back),
Duncan Robinson: Questionable (Back)
Hawks
Hawks:
Kobe Bufkin: Out For Season (Shoulder),
Jalen Johnson: Out For Season (Shoulder),
Clint Capela: Out (Hand),
Trae Young: Probable (Achilles),
Keaton Wallace: Out (Shoulder),
Larry Nance Jr.: Out For Season (Knee)
Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, March 27, 2025
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSSE
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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